Short-Term Energy Consumption Prediction in Iranian Buildings Using a Hybrid CNN-LSTM Model with Multimodal Data Fusion: A Case Study on Residential Buildings in Tehran

Document Type : Research article

Authors

1 Department of Architecture, Bo.C., Islamic Azad University, Borujerd, Iran

2 Department of Computer Engineering, Bo.C., Islamic Azad University, Borujerd, Iran

10.61186/jgeri.2025.2069035.1069
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid CNN-LSTM model for short-term energy consumption prediction in Iranian residential buildings, focusing on Tehran. By integrating multimodal data—meteorological, temporal, occupancy proxies, and building metadata—and employing deep feature engineering via a stacked denoising autoencoder, the model achieves high accuracy (R² = 0.89) and robustness against data imperfections. The framework demonstrates the critical role of cultural and contextual features, such as Iranian holidays, in enhancing prediction validity. SHAP analysis provides interpretability, aligning model logic with local realities. The results offer a scalable, context-aware solution for intelligent energy management in Iran’s urban environment.

Keywords



Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 08 September 2025

  • Receive Date 16 August 2025
  • Revise Date 04 September 2025
  • Accept Date 08 September 2025
  • Publish Date 08 September 2025

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